How will Israel destroy Iran

There have long been rumors that Israel wants to attack Iran's nuclear installations to prevent Iran developing nuclear weapons. The U.S. blogger Richard Silverstein claiming to have gotten hold of a meeting note from the Israeli Security. The note allegedly outlining strategic attack plans against Iran. The authenticity of the note has not been verified.

Apparently the attack plan

First Israel, according to the note, implement a cyber assault with intent to harm the Iranian infrastructure. Then they conduct a massive missile attacks to hit the country's nuclear facilities, command centers, research centers and homes of senior officials associated with Iran's nuclear program, reports the BBC . In the final phase, according to the note, the manned aircraft taking into Iran and sure to knock out the rest of the goals. It is completely in line with how it is normally done, leader of the Center for International and Strategic Analysis (SISA), Helge Luras, the online newspaper. Luras emphasizes that the order of the various estimates can vary and that the estimates can also be implemented simultaneously.

An information war

He doubts, however, strongly that Israel actually has concrete plans to attack Iran on its own. This despite the fact that both Defense Minister Ehud Barak and Matan Vilnai preparedness minister has in recent days talked loudly about Israeli consequences of a possible full-scale war with Iran. Both estimates an outcome with 500 killed Israelis. I interpret this as an information war that is part of efforts to create political pressure on the U.S. to harden sanctions against Iran. But of course, a goal also creating uncertainty in Iran general says Lurås. Vilnai has estimated that a war with Iran will last for 30 days.

Doubt Israeli attack

I highly doubt that Israel will attack Iran. I stand by my earlier account, they do not have the capacity to significantly set back Iran's nuclear program alone. At least not while they have to deal with the other effects, says Luras. Luras says among other things will be very challenging for Israel to carry out a manned bomb attacks in Iran. - The problem for Israel is the distance to Iran. If they fly the shortest route, so they might just be able to come back again without having to refill the tank. But probably have to do that too, he says.

Hostile Airspace

Another problem for Israel is to be allowed to fly in the airspace of countries they must cross on their way to Iran. They need overflight rights, so they do not need to fly over hostile territory. And know that Israel does not have too many friends in the area. They might fly over Syria and Iraq. Neither Syria or Iraq has an airforce that will be a huge problem for the Israelis. But Israel will definitely try to avoid flying over two hostile countries before they reach Iran, as it has been mostly speculation that they would fly over Saudi Arabia. But it will be difficult for Saudi Arabia to actively approve it. If Israel were to fly a mission, then Saudi Arabia say that they are not caught up.But if the raids taking place over several days, so they can no longer claim it. So if Israel does, then I think they would do it in one massive assault pack, with one attempt and see what they can do. What I've read and seen of the analysis, so it is a very marginal chance Israel has to come back and forth, he said.

Gamble on U.S. aid

One possibility is that the Israelis would gamble that the U.S. will assist them once an attack may be in progress. It is not inconceivable that they would hope that Americans will feel compelled to follow up with an attack, says Luras.  Do you think Iran will attack Israel? No, not unprovoked. Iran has nothing to gain by attacking Israel unprovoked.