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Monday, April 1, 2013

NORTH KOREA | Analysis of escalating threats of Kim Jong-un Hostile rhetoric seeking popular support and international legitimacy


With its hostile rhetoric and histrionic gestures excessive and irrational to many Westerners, the North Korean regime is seeking the support of his own people, even a fear born of support and the confidence gained in the polls ; legitimacy in the community international, that can only come from the normalization of relations, economic stability, impossible as long subjected to isolation and strict sanctions regime in place, and peace, a peace treaty to end the state of emergency remained since the end of war in 1953. The image of a young inexperienced leader, blind to reality, should not deceive us. Behind him are his uncle and many of the generals who were next to his father, saying and doing virtually the same thing until 15 months. It has exacerbated the tone a bit, has given more visibility to the young Kim Jong-un in military garb or environments and playing quarterback, but nothing essential has changedIn July marks 60 years since the signing of the armistice of China and North Korea to the UN and the U.S. that ended three years of war that cost millions of lives, and North Korea is by all means available, not many, out of the cage in which, on its own merits more than the others, is enclosed. This seeks to renegotiate a balanced peace agreement, which means the Obama Administration set a table, forcing a change in policy toward the North to the newly elected president in South Korea, ensure unity and loyalty of his people, and press for U.S. withdraw its forces from the Korean peninsula. And all this without a general war, which, for a long smoke-detached propaganda knows that would be suicide.

Threats cyclical

The incendiary harangues are repeated each year, coinciding with the period of military maneuvers of the U.S. and South Korea. Parades of over 100,000 soldiers, students and workers as of last Friday, or display of weapons in the North are routine and watch them or treat them as a prelude outside of Armageddon is absurd. After these displays of apparent hostility, which have been an inseparable part of the North Korean system from day one, life has changed little .The airline offers more flights Koryo Pyongyang tour this spring, the Kaesong Industrial Park, on the border with the South, with some 50,000 North Korean workers, continues to run smoothly and the news of Pyongyang, before apocalyptic daily dose, open with 10 or 15 minutes of testimony pacifist Western media rarely mentions. North All threats are usually preceded by conditions like "if we are attacked, if the aggressive imperialist dare ...", which, in Western translation, systematically lost, though, in doing so, change their meaning. " I hear their television news for years and I have not heard any direct threat to attack, only to respond to attacks from other , "he told The Associated Press from South Korean university professor Busau Dongseo in BR Myers, who posted the best analysis DPRK propaganda in recent years. "The international press is making a grave mistake keeping only the second part of each threat," he adds.

Limit to provocations

The growing importance of the missiles and bombs on their threats reflected more weakness than strength. It is an indicator that North Korea has been left with no other letters of pressure as explicit diplomatic support from China, the desire to unify a majority of South Koreans or a viable indigenous economy. The new test of a rocket with satellite in December and the third nuclear test in February convicted of Beijing, the South Korean-converted in the 14th or 15th industrial power want no unification with neighboring anchored in income sub-Saharan and new UN sanctions, especially from Australia and Japan against North Korea's Foreign Trade Bank do much damage to a regime stifled by foreclosures and the military budget . Observers who follow politics closely over North Korea recognize that in the medium-range missiles (1,300 kilometers) Rodong, Pyongyang's military could get at most U.S. bases in Japan. They doubt they can reach Guam, Hawaii or California. With written reconfirmation of its military support to Seoul against any aggression from the North and sending two B-2 on Thursday to Korea from its base in Missouri Whiteman ½ -37 hours non-stop-tour, U.S. tries to reassure to Japanese and South Korean allies , and Moscow and Beijing warn that North Korean provocations have a limit. That limit has been, over the past six decades, continuous infiltrations, intermittent harassment of vessels, kidnapping, terrorist attacks abroad, sporadic attacks and half-deserted islands, the most serious of all if, as certified by the commission international research did North Korea sinking a submarine torpedo from a North Korean ship Cheonan three years ago, which killed 46 sailors.

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