U.S. develops plans for Syria without Assad is not another Iraq

Avoid an implosion of Syria as that suffered by Iraq after the fall ofSaddam Hussein in 2003 is the goal of the plans being developed by United States when President Bashar Al Assad is removed from power.Those plans, in accordance with the policy maintained by the White House, do not allow any armed intervention and assistance of refugees in the Syrian border limits, and the advice of the rebel groups that revenge is minimal, much respect the structure of the Army, Police and Administration. This was said today " The New York Times "citing U.S. State Department and Pentagon, who do not know if the fall of Assad will be a matter of weeks or months. The experience of Iraq is that the overthrow of Saddam Hussein mistakenly followed the dismantling of almost all levels of power and bureaucracy, resulting in a high vacuum of authority and sowed the seed of a persistent insurgency that brought the radicalism of Al Qaida . "We do not want to dissolve all the institutions," the newspaper said U.S. officials. Although President Barack Obama has ruled out military intervention, contingency plans being developed by the Pentagon include the possibility that U.S. troops work with NATO forces or allies in the area to control the flow of refugees can overwhelm the borders of Syria. It could also have units to ensure that stockpiles of chemical weapons attacks Al Assad not suffer or fall into the hands of radical groups. The risk of implosion of Syria is considered even greater than in the case of Iraq, as their tribal and ethnic divisions are even larger than in the other country. Hence the urgency of the plans to avoid the complete collapse of the country and ensure the viability of a transition. So far, the most immediate has been sending food and basic medical equipment to Turkey's border with Syria. United States intends to take special care of these movements in anticipation of a situation without being seen by Assad the Syrian opposition as an attempt to interfere in internal affairs.Some warnings have come from Syrian groups are also developing a plan for transition. The forecasts from the State Department and Pentagon have accelerated since the last month the prospects for a negotiated settlement have dimmed. The refusal of China and Russia to implement new sanctions and the resignation of Kofi Annan as mediator international diplomacy have been exhausted, in the opinion of Washington.