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Thursday, May 3, 2012

war is won, lost war

A decade, the United States have tried to change the criminal state ruled by the Taliban Afghanistan. They have made big mistakes and achieved great things, have helped and destroyed. With his visit, Obama has initiated the withdrawal of U.S. troops - and passed a large part of responsibility to the Afghans. Can he do it? Yes. The country must learn to survive themselves. Or will it descend into chaos again. Afghanistan is like a picture puzzle: The more you look the country, the more opportunities open up, the more confusing, contradictory, the impression. Yes, that's right: The war is won, but he is also lost, the country is doing better, but may also soon be much worse, the Taliban are weakened, but they could in two years to return at least partially to power, President Hamid Karzai is isolated and weak, but a better President is currently inconceivable, every dollar the government encourages more corruption, but also prevents anarchy. A decade, the United States have tried to change this situation. Initially too naive then to disinterested, then diligently and purposefully. They have made big mistakes and achieved great things. You have to give them responsibility and provoke hostilities. They have helped a lot, but also much destroyed. They have far too long the Afghan laws underestimated, and they have paid for it with many lives and much money. A separate picture puzzle came into existence. But no more. And therefore we must also prepare for the deduction. The china shop-bill goes for Afghanistan that is never on. In the cycle of destruction and construction, there are too many players. With his visit to the cover of darkness, Obama has not only created an excellent metaphor, but also initiated the long parting from Afghanistan. He leaves two messages: first, the United States came to al-Qaida to destroy - that's almost succeeded. This will be a kind of justification formula, but still some way to talk about a "victory", even if Obama avoids today. And the second message: The fate of Afghanistan will not be able to steer the long run from the outside. The country must learn to survive itself - or it will just descend into chaos again. This is a sobering, but fair balance after all these years. Fair she is, because the Afghan government had been many years in which they would have more to contribute to their own strength. It is fair, because they accepted their own, western limitation: the political capital of Afghanistan is depleted, it is no longer understand, that this war and state building with such a high cost to operate. Obama's appearance on the anniversary of the killing of Osama bin Laden follows the laws of American domestic politics. The man ended a war and bring the troops home - this message is sufficient for the campaign. The Afghan-coalition, however, still waiting on the President, who decided to bring the application end. The concern is not unfounded, that the alliance of the uncoordinated troops scattered in all directions, followed by the soldiers of the Afghan army, the lack of discipline and prefer to entrust their fate financing the Taliban. Although Obama has abandoned it to decrypt the Afghan picture puzzle: His vague idea of ​​using the last two years does not contribute less to the uncertainty in.

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